The Issue of Carbon Removal from Water Bodies in the Context of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessments

Dr Mostafa El-Sherbiny
Dr Mostafa El-Sherbiny

 

Climate change remains one of the most pressing environmental, economic, and social challenges of the 21st century, prompting nations and international organizations to develop strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and explore technological solutions for carbon sequestration. Among these solutions, the removal of carbon dioxide from water bodies has emerged as a controversial topic during the 62nd session of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). This issue has sparked debate among developed and developing nations, scientists, and policymakers, with some arguing that such technologies are essential for achieving carbon neutrality, while others warn of their potential environmental consequences, which remain insufficiently studied over the long term.

Carbon removal from water bodies encompasses several techniques aimed at absorbing carbon dioxide, either directly from oceans and seas or by enhancing its natural uptake through biological or chemical processes. These methods include the use of alkaline solutions to increase carbon dioxide absorption from the atmosphere, converting it into stable compounds, or stimulating the growth of phytoplankton, which absorbs carbon from water and converts it into organic matter that either enters the marine food chain or settles in deep ocean sediments. While these techniques offer potential benefits, many scientists and environmental organizations have raised concerns about their unintended consequences on marine ecosystems and their overall effectiveness in significantly reducing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations.

During the discussions at the 62nd IPCC session, disagreements centered on the readiness of these technologies for large-scale deployment. Representatives from some nations, such as Saudi Arabia, emphasized the importance of not excluding any technology that could contribute to achieving carbon neutrality, advocating for the inclusion of oceanic carbon removal methods in IPCC reports and the development of standardized methodologies to measure their emissions and evaluate their feasibility. Conversely, countries like Germany, Belgium, and France expressed reservations, arguing that these technologies remain scientifically immature and could have unintended environmental consequences, such as increasing ocean acidification or disrupting fragile marine ecosystems. Some developing nations also voiced concerns about the potential for developed countries to dominate and monopolize these technologies without considering the interests of nations that rely heavily on marine ecosystems for food security and economic sustainability.

A major complicating factor in this debate is the lack of sufficient data on the long-term effects of these techniques. Several researchers pointed out that carbon removal from water is not merely a physical process but one that alters the ecological balance of the oceans, potentially leading to disruptions in marine food chains. Enhanced carbon sequestration in some areas could deplete nutrients in others, thereby impacting biodiversity. Given these uncertainties, scientists have recommended conducting more large-scale field studies before making any policy decisions regarding the integration of such techniques into global carbon reduction strategies.

As a result of these divergent views, the IPCC decided to postpone any final decision on incorporating oceanic carbon removal into its assessment reports until the 63rd session. The upcoming discussions will rely on further scientific research and technical consultations, with several nations stressing the need for clear criteria to measure the environmental effectiveness of these methods and to assess their potential risks comprehensively. This delay underscores the IPCC's cautious approach in avoiding the premature adoption of solutions that may prove unsustainable or have unforeseen negative consequences. It also highlights the broader challenges facing global climate change mitigation efforts, which require a delicate balance between technological innovation and ecological sustainability.

As debates on this issue continue, scientific research is expected to further evaluate the feasibility of carbon removal from water bodies. Progress in this field will require close collaboration between scientists and policymakers to ensure the development of safe, effective, and environmentally responsible technologies. The upcoming IPCC sessions will remain a crucial platform for determining the future of these methods within the broader international climate agenda.